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Tencent sports news October 8th World Cup Asian zone before the 12 round, China national team 1 flat 2 negative only 1 points, while the 7 games left there is still hope for promotion, but a foreign media is calculated according to the conclusions, the probability of China Russia reached the World Cup finals only 
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3.05%, even more than at present the bottom of the Qatar team A group is lower! Iran, Australia, South Korea and Japan, according to estimates from Asia. On the basis of the theory of media estimate is Elo national rankings, Elo rating system pioneered by the Hungarian American chess master, physicist Arpad - originally used in chess game halloysite, and strength and the ability to measure the 
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performance of two players. Later, it was also applied to the football project. Similar to the FIFA ranking, Elo rating system also uses an integral rating. The major difference between the two is that the Elo rating is updated immediately after each game. There is also a point, Elo rating system will continue to update, and each team in the past every game results are taken into account, 
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while the FIFA ranking only calculated results for the past 4 years. So there is a saying that the relative FIFA ranking, Elo rating system more objective and fair. According to estimates, the probability of qualifying Chinese team with only 3.05% teams in 12, only higher than 1.81% of the Iraqi team and the 0.6% team in Thailand, even at present in the A group at the bottom of the Qatar team to qualify for the probability of higher than China (3.46%). The calculation of the data is mainly to see the national foot against the same group of opponents of the war record, as well as the recent state. Because the Chinese team has 4 consecutive international class a game very much, but with the same group of opponents of the war record is not dominant, the current situation is also considered normal.